Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.000771 0.000875 0.000985 0.001109 0.001246 0.001391 0.001556
2025-08-17 0.000597 0.000739 0.000900 0.001093 0.001318 0.001571 0.001874
2025-08-24 0.000495 0.000651 0.000835 0.001066 0.001345 0.001670 0.002072
2025-08-31 0.000415 0.000577 0.000777 0.001036 0.001361 0.001749 0.002244
2025-09-07 0.000364 0.000532 0.000746 0.001033 0.001402 0.001855 0.002445
2025-09-14 0.000323 0.000494 0.000720 0.001032 0.001443 0.001957 0.002641
2025-09-21 0.000284 0.000456 0.000689 0.001019 0.001465 0.002036 0.002807
2025-09-28 0.000250 0.000418 0.000655 0.001000 0.001476 0.002097 0.002950
2025-10-05 0.000233 0.000406 0.000655 0.001025 0.001546 0.002235 0.003195
2025-10-12 0.000217 0.000392 0.000650 0.001043 0.001606 0.002361 0.003427
2025-10-19 0.000195 0.000367 0.000628 0.001034 0.001626 0.002433 0.003587
2025-10-26 0.000176 0.000344 0.000606 0.001023 0.001642 0.002498 0.003738
2025-11-02 0.000163 0.000331 0.000599 0.001035 0.001692 0.002613 0.003963
2025-11-09 0.000148 0.000313 0.000585 0.001034 0.001723 0.002702 0.004151
2025-11-16 0.000130 0.000287 0.000553 0.001004 0.001709 0.002725 0.004249
2025-11-23 0.000114 0.000263 0.000524 0.000977 0.001697 0.002750 0.004349
2025-11-30 0.000103 0.000249 0.000511 0.000973 0.001720 0.002826 0.004522
2025-12-07 0.000094 0.000237 0.000500 0.000972 0.001747 0.002907 0.004703
2025-12-14 0.000085 0.000222 0.000483 0.000960 0.001755 0.002961 0.004846
2025-12-21 0.000075 0.000207 0.000463 0.000942 0.001753 0.002997 0.004962
2025-12-28 0.000072 0.000204 0.000467 0.000965 0.001819 0.003139 0.005237
2026-01-04 0.000068 0.000200 0.000467 0.000983 0.001875 0.003266 0.005493
2026-01-11 0.000062 0.000189 0.000454 0.000974 0.001887 0.003326 0.005647